“I am confident that the government will win the trust vote," he told media persons late on Monday, July 21 evening after attending the first day of the two-day Confidence motion. Foreign Minister Pranab Mukherjee said that the Congress-led alliance had the support of 276 MPs, clearly crossing the majority mark. Leader of Opposition L K Advani who countered by saying that the Prime Minister was "singularly" responsible for the current political crisis and held that the Indo-US nuclear deal has become an agreement between two individuals, making India "subservient" and a "junior partner."
Trinamool Congress chief Mamata Banerjee made it clear she would abstain from Tuesday's voting. There was also intense speculation that around 10 MPs from BJP, Shiv Sena, JD (U) and BJD may abstain.
As the numbers game intensified, Mukherjee said in his "simple arithmetic", UPA's combined strength of 237 with Samajwadi party's 39 added upto 276. With the Lok Sabha having an effective strength of 541, the ruling coalition enjoyed a simple majority, he said.
If the government loses, early elections will be called and the Indo-US nuclear deal with the US, over which the government's communist allies withdrew support, could be buried.