Washington, March 2 : Biologists have developed a series of global maps that show where projected habitat loss and climate change are expected to drive the need for future reserves to prevent biodiversity loss.
Developed by biologists at the University of California, San Diego, US, the maps are a part of their study provides a guide for conservationists of the areas of our planet where conservation investments would have the most impact in the future.
This would help to limit extinctions and damage to ecosystems due to rapid human-driven climate and land-use change.
To conduct their study, the researchers examined the impact of climate and land use changes on networks of biological reserves around the world and contrasted them to four projections of future global warming, agricultural expansion and human population growth from the global Millennium Ecosystem Assessment.
They discovered that past human impacts on the land poorly predicted the future impacts of climate change, revealing the inadequacy of current global conservation plans.
"The past can only guide you so much in the future," said Tien Ming Lee, a graduate student and the first author of the study. "This is why we may have to change our future conservation priorities if we want to be effective in conserving biodiversity in the long run," he added.
During the study, the researchers found that many of the regions that face the greatest habitat change in relation to the amount of land currently protected -such as Indonesia and Madagascar-are in globally threatened and endemic species-rich, developing tropical nations that have the fewest resources for conservation.
Conversely, many of the temperate regions of the planet with an already expansive network of reserves are in countries such as Austria, Germany and Switzerland, which have the greatest financial resources for conservation efforts, but comparatively less biodiversity under threat.
"There's a huge discrepancy between where the world's conservation resources are concentrated and where the greatest threats to biodiversity are projected to come from future global change," said Walter Jetz, an assistant professor of biological sciences at UC San Diego, who headed the study.
According to Jetz, though the developed nations are where the world's wealth is concentrated, they are not the future battlegrounds for conservation.
"While many details still have to be worked out, our study is a first baseline attempt on a global scale to quantitatively demonstrate the urgent need to plan reserves and other conservation efforts in view of future global change impacts," he said.