Review policy lays thrust on balancing growth, financial stability
Mumbai, Oct 30 (UNI) The mid-term review of policy by RBI continued to lay its thrust on balancing the contrary objectives of sustaining growth and achieving financial stability.
The management of external driven liquidity remains the key area of focus to achieve financial stability, Quantum Asset Management CEO and CIO Devendra Nevgi said.
The large capital flows were clearly hindering the monetary policy effectives and pushing the money supply beyond RBI's target (17-17.5 per cent) that was pushing the asset prices (stocks/real estate) higher.
The CRR hike of 50 bps was a pre-emptive sterilization move to stem the capital flows that may accentuate as the Federal Reserve is expected to cut the interest rates tomorrow.
RBI slashed its medium term inflation target to 3 per cent (from 4-4.5 per cent) and clearly mentioned that it will not hesitate to use various direct and indirect tools to control inflation and inflationary expectations. The forward looking view on agricultural sector was positive that will support RBI's view.
RBI further deregulated the Foreign Exchange markets by allowing oil companies and importers/exporters to actively hedge there exposures via the options route.
Although RBI kept its GDP growth rate target at 8.50 per cent, it acknowledged a little slack in the industry and services sector.
RBI's focus is clearly on management of the global liquidity (capital flows) and attaining risks of financial instability that may occur due to adverse developments in global markets.
Meanwhile,
Religare
Securities
Institutional
Business
Head
Sangeeta
Purushottam
said,
''The
Cash
Reserve
Ratio
(CRR)
hike
is
aimed
at
sterilizing
the
impact
of
excess
liquidity
because
of
the
large
Forex
flows,
we
expect
banks
to
absorb
the
incremental
cost
through
a
lowering
of
deposit
rates
so
bank
earnings
will
not
be
impacted.
We
expect
the
equity
markets
to
shrug
this
off
because
of
the
strong
liquidity
flows
-
both
domestic
and
foreign.''
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