RBI Policy CRR hikes of 50 bps
New
Delhi,
Oct
30:
The
Mid
Term
Review
of
the
Annual
Monetary
Policy
announced
by
RBI
today
is
on
expected
lines,
said
CII
in
a
Press
Release
issued
here
today.
However,
keeping
in
mind
the
international
trends
in
interest
rates
and
particularly
the
indications
coming
in
from
the
US,
CII
feels
that
the
RBI
could
have
considered
an
interest
rate
(Repo
Rate)
cut
to
go
along
with
the
CRR
hike
of
50
bps.
CII has observed that the hike in CRR would effectively suck out about Rs. 15500 crores from the system.
The press release said that CII has taken note of the statement, which says that the RBI would move “swiftly" in case of global developments.
The release also mentioned that CII feels that the RBI has clearly indicated that it is attaching more importance to liquidity compared to concerns on growth. The press release said that CII fully appreciates the RBI Governor"s difficulties in dealing with the twin challenge of managing liquidity and consequent inflationary expectations on the one hand and boosting demand and hence growth, on the other.
CII only wondered how the RBI would react in the eventuality of the US Federal Reserve cutting interest rates tomorrow, since another round of interest rate cut would increase the propensity of more foreign funds coming into India through the ECB route, which would obviously add to the concern of the RBI. This challenge of increased foreign exchange inflow would further get accentuated and consequent pressure on the rupee by expanding the interest rate differentials between India and the US.
However, a moderate cut in interest rate in India at this point of time would have probably dealt with this situation better, said the CII release.
The RBI announcement has allowed Oil companies to hedge foreign exchange exposures by using over-the-counter (OTC)/ exchange traded derivatives up to a maximum of one year forward. CII feels that this is an opportunity, which India could have leveraged by developing currency exchanges to facilitate such hedging, said the release.
CII also said that it has taken note of the RBI"s efforts at liberalising foreign exchange transactions, strengthening risk management in banks, migration to Basel II and fine-tuning of supervisory processes.
CII observed that the RBI has also attempted to develop an integrated financial market, improve credit delivery mechanism, particularly to agriculture and small and medium enterprises, which is welcome.
ANI
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